Rising bearishness among investors has led to a retreat into defensive assets, according to the latest quarterly manager and intelligence trends report from Bfinance.
Against a backdrop of surging inflation and rapidly rising interest rates, the report noted that investors were challenged to rethink their vulnerability to equity market volatility.
A fallback into defensive assets was reflected by the Bfinance Risk Aversion Index, which moved deeper into bearish, risk-off territory, rising from 0.79 to 0.82 in the second quarter of the year.
Among the multi-asset managers tracked for the index, equity exposure fell to less than 32% (3 percentage points below the long-term average), while weightings to fixed income and other diversifiers rose to 68%.
According to August’s report, as investors sought out new sources of portfolio diversification, income and inflation protection and real estate attracted 31% of all new mandate searches, while private markets represented 68% of all new search activity for the 12 months ended 30 June 2022.
Equity mandate searches fell in the second quarter, accounting for just 20% of all new search activity over this period. Fixed income searches remained unchanged year over year at 15% of all new activity.
Despite the turbulence in public markets, the report noted that hedge funds and other liquid alternative strategies continued to provide investors with a “significant source” of diversification and returns.
While overall search activity for so-called diversifying strategies remained virtually flat at 11%, Bfinance noted a rising percentage of overlay strategies being implemented by its clients during the period, which resulted in this segment outstripping all others on a ‘proportion of assets’ basis.
The Australian Retirement Trust is adopting a “healthy level of conservatism” towards the US as the end of the 90-day tariff pause approaches, with “anything possible”.
Uncertainty around tariffs and subdued growth may lead to some short-term constraints in relation to the private credit market, the fund manager has said.
Just three active asset managers are expected to attract net inflows over the coming year, according to Morningstar, with those specialising in fixed income or private markets best positioned to benefit.
Taking a purely passive investment approach is leaving many investors at risk of heightened valuation risks, Allan Gray and Orbis Investments have cautioned.