With the US economy still labouring under a massive burden of debt, most economists have regarded China and India as the major drivers for growth through 2004.
According to Aberdeen Asset Management’s Hugh Woung, Asia continued to perform strongly through 2004, although not as strongly as in 2003.
“But given that we have growth rates in excess of 50 per cent in 2003 that is hardly surprising,” he said.
Looking over the horizon, Woung forecasts that the problems affecting the US economy, higher interest rates and higher oil prices will impact the global economy but that Asia should continue to do comparatively well.
He said that from Aberdeen’s point of view, China continued to present a promising macro-economic picture but that India looked a better investment destination because of the maturity of business systems and the stability of its companies.
“China presents a more exciting growth story from a macro point of view but India has better companies which understand the essence of transparency,” Woung said.
His comments are consistent with the analysis presented to a recent Industry Funds Services conference, which suggested that while China was likely to continue its strong levels of economic growth, India represented a better long-term investment proposition for many companies.
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