Institutional investors are reducing their exposures to equities as part of an expected global economic slowdown, according to research released by State Street Corporation.
Carlin Doyle, the macro strategist for State Street, said State Street’s cross border equity flows indicated that investors are displaying risk-averse tendencies and abandoning emerging market equities. Indicators are at multi-year lows, which suggests below average growth through next year.
However, the departure from equities is expected to shore up a weak United States (US) dollar, while dropping commodity prices will cause inflation to drop, as well as challenge the strength of the Australian and New Zealand dollar and the South African rand. The Japanese yen may strengthen due to the shift to anti risk currencies, and US investors will move their overseas equities surplus to safer markets.
The global credit crisis will also impact emerging markets, which were most uncontrolled during good times, Doyle said.
The research house has offered a silver lining after super fund returns saw the end of a five-month streak last month.
A survey of almost 6,000 fund members has identified weakening retirement confidence, particularly among those under 55 years of age, signalling an opportunity for super funds to better engage with members on their retirement journey.
The funds have confirmed the signing of a successor fund transfer deed, moving closer to creating a new $29 billion entity.
A number of measures, including super on Paid Parental Leave, funding to recover unpaid super, and frameworks to encourage investment in the energy transition, have been welcomed by the superannuation industry.
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